Living risk prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for risk of hospital admission and mortality from coronavirus 19 in adults: national derivation and validation cohort study

  • Novel clinical risk prediction models (QCOVID) have been developed and evaluated to identify risks of short term severe outcomes due to covid-19

  • The risk models have excellent discrimination and are well calibrated; they will be regularly updated as the absolute risks change over time

  • QCOVID has the potential to support public health policy by enabling shared decision making between clinicians and patients, targeted recruitment for clinical trials, and prioritisation for vaccination

    BMJ 2020371 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m3777 (Published 20 October 2020)